Greek Superleague Gameweek 17
Jan 18, 2026 3.00pm
AEL Arena

AEL Larissa vs Aris Thessaloniki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Kifisia 0 - 0 Larissa
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Giannis Pasas

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 5.30pm
Aris 1 - 1 AEK Athens
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Fredrik Jensen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for AEL Larissa has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 28.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aris Thessaloniki win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win is 1-0 (11.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.12%).

Result

AEL Larissa 33.43% (+0.04)
Draw 28.45% (+0.03)
Aris Thessaloniki 38.12% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.02% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.47%
Under 1.5 34.53%
Over 2.5 39.7%
Under 2.5 60.3%
Over 3.5 19.16% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.84% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.31% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.69% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AEL Larissa 26.91% (+0.13)
Draw 46.15% (-0.08)
Aris Thessaloniki 26.93% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

AEL Larissa 46.06% (+0.07)
No Goal 10.53% (+0.01)
Aris Thessaloniki 43.41% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.36% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.25% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.39% (-0.01)
Over 9 38.59% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.77% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.64% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.22% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.78% (+0.02)

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 1.5 28.34% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.29% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.71% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.42%
Under 3.5 97.58%

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5 67.65% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.35% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.19% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.81% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.11% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

AEL Larissa 33.43%
Draw 28.46%
Aris Thessaloniki 38.12%
AEL Larissa
1-0 @ 11.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.46%
Aris Thessaloniki
0-1 @ 12.48% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1% (-0.03)
Total : 38.12%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Nov 29, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Uros Racic 12' yellowcard
  • 12' yellowcard
  • Loren Moron 27' goal
  • Lindsay Rose 54' yellowcard
  • Loren Moron 63' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Fernandes Rodrigues de Souza 90'+9' goal
  • Eduardo Fernandes Rodrigues de Souza 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Epaminondas Pantelakis 12'
  • yellowcard 12'
  • yellowcard Savvas Mourgos 13'
  • yellowcard 13'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 33'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 46'
  • yellowcard Erick Ferigra 78'
  • yellowcard Kostas Apostolakis 81'
  • goal Giannis Pasas 90'+7'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
  • Lindsay Rose 30' goal
  • Facundo Bertoglio 37' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Ioannou 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Pinakas 44'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 54'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 78'
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 87'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 6
Dec 2, 2020 3.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Ioannis Kosti 30' yellowcard
  • Tim Sparv 45' yellowcard
  • Mateo Muzek 57' yellowcard
  • Steliano Filip 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Dimitris Manos 18'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gama 71'
  • goal Dimitris Manos 73'
  • goal Xande Silva 90'+6'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2020 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AEL Arena (Larissa)
  • Athanasios Papazoglou 50' yellowcard
  • Adnan Secerovic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Sasha 40'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gama 70'
  • yellowcard Abou Ba 83'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2019 3.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis (Thessaloníki)
  • Fran Velez 10' goal
  • Bruno Gama 12' goal
  • Abou Ba 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sundgren 88' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Nunic 20'
  • goal Marko Nunic 33'
  • yellowcard Amr Warda 33'
  • yellowcard Manolis Bertos 55'
  • goal Amr Warda 74'
  • yellowcard Ogmundur Kristinsson 79'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bustos 84'
  • yellowcard Fatjon Andoni 88'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2019 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AEL Arena (Larissa)
  • Fatjon Andoni 60' yellowcard
  • Adnan Secerovic 67' yellowcard
  • Milos Deletic 82' yellowcard
  • Yevgeny Schikavko 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Migjen Basha 26'
  • yellowcard Manolis Tzanakakis 55'
  • yellowcard Lefteris Intzoglou 65'