Champions League
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-
Aurélien Tchouaméni
16'
-
David Alaba
77'
-
Franco Mastantuono
77'
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Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Thiago Pitarch
84'
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César Palacios
84'
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Álvaro Carreras
90'+1'
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Fran García
90'+1'
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Rafa Silva
14'
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Franjo Ivanović
85'
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Enzo Barrenechea
85'
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Sidny Cabral
90'+1'
Real Madrid vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result
Real Madrid
54.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
22.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Benfica
22.79%
Both Teams to Score:
55.89%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.88%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
20.12%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
58.09%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
41.91%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
36.97%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
63.03%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
22.67%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
77.33%
▲
(+0.18)
First Half Winner
Real Madrid
38.36%
Draw
37.34%
Benfica
24.3%
Team To Score First
Real Madrid
55.16%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
5.13%
▲
(+0.09)
Benfica
39.71%
▼
(-0.18)
Corners
Over 8
61.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
9.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
28.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
51.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
10.45%
Under 9
38.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
41.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 10.5
58.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
54.66%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
45.34%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 2.5
28.75%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
71.25%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
12.67%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
87.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
59.1%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
40.9%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
28.54%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
71.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
9.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
90.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
3.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
96.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
54.74%
Draw
22.49%
Benfica
22.78%
Real Madrid
1-0
@
9.84%
▲
(+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 54.74%
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 54.74%
Draw
1-1
@
9.94%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.49%
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.49%
Benfica
1-2
@
5.76%
0-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.78%
Head to Head
Champions League
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Richard Rios
74'
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Heorhiy Sudakov
74'
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Richard Ríos
74'
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Georgiy Sudakov
74'
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Sidny Lopes Cabral
80'
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Sidny Cabral
80'
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Dodi Lukebakio
81'
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Dodi Lukébakio
81'
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Vinicius Junior
50'
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Brahim Diaz
86'
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Brahim Díaz
86'
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Dani Carvajal
90'
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Thiago Pitarch Pinar
90'+4'
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Thiago Pitarch
90'+4'
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Dani Carvajal
90'+9'
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Daniel Carvajal
90'+9'
Champions League
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Andreas Schjelderup
36'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
45'+5'
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Andreas Schjelderup
54'
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Enzo Barrenechea
83'
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Joao Pedro Seno Luis Rego
87'
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João Rego
87'
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Franjo Ivanovic
90'+3'
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Antonio Silva
90'+3'
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Franjo Ivanović
90'+3'
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António Silva
90'+3'
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Anatoliy Trubin
90'+8'
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Kylian Mbappe
30'
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Kylian Mbappé
30'
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Eduardo Camavinga
55'
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Rodrygo
55'
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Kylian Mbappe
58'
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Kylian Mbappé
58'
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David Alaba
78'
-
Brahim Diaz
79'
-
Jorge Cestero Sancho
79'
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Brahim Díaz
79'
Form Data
Build-up
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