Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.41% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.