Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Andreas Schjelderup 16' goal
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 73' yellowcard
  • Georgiy Sudakov 73' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 85' yellowcard
  • Bruma 85' yellowcard
  • Anísio 85' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 86' goal
  • Anísio 86' goal
  • Antonio Silva 88' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 88' yellowcard
  • Enzo Barrenechea 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • António Silva 88' yellowcard
  • goal Figueiredo 30'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Garcia 46'
  • yellowcard Fabrício Garcia 46'
  • yellowcard Rhaldney 71'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 81'
  • yellowcard Cédric Nuozzi 82'
  • yellowcard Isaac James 88'

Benfica vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 8.30pm
Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 8.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.73% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 7.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.26%) and 3-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.03%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 75.95%
Draw 16.73%
Alverca 7.34% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.98% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.78% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 24.22% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.37% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.35% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.89% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.11% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Benfica 56.94%
Draw 31.57%
Alverca 11.5%

Team To Score First

Benfica 74.3% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.03% (-0.01)
Alverca 18.67%

Corners

Over 8 50.8%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 37.58%
Over 9 39.61%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 49.2%
Over 10.5 29.67%
Under 10.5 70.33%

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 64.9% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 35.1% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 38.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 61.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.57% (-0.03)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 34.04% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 65.96% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 9.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 90.41% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 1.8% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 98.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.28%
Under 3.5 99.72%

Score analysis

Benfica 75.95%
Draw 16.73%
Alverca 7.35%
Benfica
2-0 @ 14.73% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 14.26% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
Other @ 19.41% (+0.02)
Total : 75.95%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 16.73%
Alverca
0-1 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.35%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT