Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 8.30pm
Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 8.30pm
Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.97%. A draw has a probability of 16.72% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.29%) and 3-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.04%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (2.95%).

Result

Benfica 75.97% (+0.04)
Draw 16.72% (-0.02)
Alverca 7.3% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.89% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.3% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.3% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.7% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.38% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.87% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.13% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Benfica 56.96% (+0.04)
Draw 31.55% (-0.01)
Alverca 11.49% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Benfica 74.28% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.04%
Alverca 18.68% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.8% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.58% (-0.06)
Over 9 39.61% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.2% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 29.67% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.33% (-0.04)

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 64.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.14% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 38.73% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 61.27% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.58% (+0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 33.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 66.05% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 9.54% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 90.46% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 1.78% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.28%
Under 3.5 99.72%

Score analysis

Benfica 75.96%
Draw 16.72%
Alverca 7.3%
Benfica
2-0 @ 14.75%
1-0 @ 14.29% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.55% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 19.4% (-0.02)
Total : 75.96%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.04%
1-1 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 16.72%
Alverca
0-1 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.3%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT