Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.78%. A draw had a probability of 14.46% and a win for AVS had a probability of 6.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 3-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.