Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.31% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.