Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.