Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.