Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.69% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.