Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.21% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.