Champions League
Mar 17, 2026 8.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw has a probability of 22.56% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it is 0-1 (5.76%).

Result

Arsenal 58.11%
Draw 22.56%
Bayer Leverkusen 19.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.26%
Under 1.5 23.74%
Over 2.5 52.44%
Under 2.5 47.56%
Over 3.5 30.04%
Under 3.5 69.96%
Over 4.5 18.27%
Under 4.5 81.73%

First Half Winner

Arsenal 41.33%
Draw 36.96%
Bayer Leverkusen 21.71%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 60.05%
No Goal 6.41%
Bayer Leverkusen 33.54%

Corners

Over 8 49.36%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 38.82%
Over 9 38.09%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 50.64%
Over 10.5 28.18%
Under 10.5 71.82%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 53.4%
Under 1.5 46.6%
Over 2.5 27.14%
Under 2.5 72.86%
Over 3.5 11.44%
Under 3.5 88.56%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 53.88%
Under 0.5 46.12%
Over 1.5 21.96%
Under 1.5 78.04%
Over 2.5 6.67%
Under 2.5 93.33%
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Arsenal 58.13%
Draw 22.57%
Bayer Leverkusen 19.38%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 11.36%
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.57%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 19.38%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 46' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 74' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 82' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 82' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 60'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 74'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 89'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 7, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 8' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 9' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • Kai Havertz 66' goal
  • goal Adam Hlozek 76'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Puerta 89'