Champions League
Mar 17, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Eberechi Eze 36' goal
  • Declan Rice 63' goal
  • Christian Nørgaard 68' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Mosquera 69' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 69' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 70' yellowcard
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Montrell Culbreath 60'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 60'
  • yellowcard Patrik Schick 70'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernández 83'

Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.21% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 59.34% (-0.36)
Draw 22.21% (+0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen 18.46% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.4% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.32% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.68% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.73% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.59% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 69.41% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 18.97% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 81.03% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 40.07% (-0.79)
Draw 37.39% (+0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen 22.54% (+0.68)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 58.55% (-1.70)
No Goal 6.47% (+0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen 34.98% (+1.60)

Corners

Over 8 50.52% (+0.32)
Equal 8 11.67% (-0.17)
Under 8 37.81% (-0.15)
Over 9 39.27% (+0.43)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.11)
Under 9 49.48% (-0.32)
Over 10.5 29.29% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 70.71% (-0.50)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 54.38% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 45.62% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 28.25% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 71.75% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 12.19% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 87.81% (-0.10)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 52.52% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 47.48% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 21.15% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 78.85% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 6.41% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 93.59% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Arsenal 59.32%
Draw 22.21%
Bayer Leverkusen 18.46%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 5.7% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.10)
Other @ 12.1% (+0.09)
Total : 59.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 22.21%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 5.54% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.47% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.75% (+0.12)
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 46' goal
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 74' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 82' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 82' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 60'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 74'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 89'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 7, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 8' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 9' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • Kai Havertz 66' goal
  • goal Adam Hlozek 76'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Puerta 89'

Build-up

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