Bundesliga
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Aleix García 6' goal
  • Ibrahim Maza 45' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Maza 46' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 61' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 77' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 77' yellowcard
  • Nathan Tella 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 61'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 61'
  • goal Luis Díaz 69'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 88'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 88'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 89'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.30pm
Bayern 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
97
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 22.42% (-0.07)
Draw 21.97%
Bayern Munich 55.61% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.82% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.84% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 58.26% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 41.74% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 35.57%
Under 3.5 64.43%
Over 4.5 22.96%
Under 4.5 77.04%

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 27.5%
Draw 37.99%
Bayern Munich 34.5%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 41.42%
No Goal 5.3%
Bayern Munich 53.28%

Corners

Over 8 58.22%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 30.8%
Over 9 47.01%
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 41.78%
Over 10.5 36.45%
Under 10.5 63.55%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 27.18% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 72.82% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.03% (+0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 82.08% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.38% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 44.62% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 29.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.44% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 22.42%
Draw 21.96%
Bayern Munich 55.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95%
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.69% (-0.02)
Total : 22.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 21.96%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 9.07% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.16% (+0.02)
Total : 55.6%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Mario Hermoso 31' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 47' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 51' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 70' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendia 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 8'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 10'
  • goal Harry Kane 52'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 71'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 82'
Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 9' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 39' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 50' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 54' goal
  • Harry Kane 75' goal
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 39'
  • redcard Nordi Mukiele 62'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 73'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Piero Hincapie 11' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hiroki Ito 39'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 53'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 74'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 13' yellowcard
  • Manuel Neuer 17' redcard
  • Leon Goretzka 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 13'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 22'
  • goal Nathan Tella 69'
  • yellowcard Matej Kovar 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 23' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 39' goal
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 23'
  • goal Robert Andrich 31'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 32'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 57'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 71'