Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Arena

Josip Stanisic 61'
Harry Kane 64'
Harry Kane 64'
Luis Diaz 67'
Luis Díaz 67'
Konrad Laimer 69'
Jamal Musiala 69'
70'
Leon Goretzka 80'
Konrad Laimer 89'
Hiroki Ito 90'+4'

Ole Werner 29'
Maarten Vandevoordt 62'
Nicolas Seiwald 69'
70'
Ezechiel Banzuzi 78'
Brajan Gruda 78'
Conrad Harder 78'
Christoph Baumgartner 82'
Tidiam Gomis 89'
Tidiam Gomis 90'
El Chadaille Bitshiabu 90'+4'

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Bayern vs RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Bayern vs RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 10 Feb 2026 00:58

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

W
D
W
L
W
W

RB Leipzig

All competitions

W
L
D
W
L
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.23% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%) , while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 69.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 16.23%

RB Leipzig 14.7% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

58.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 11.91% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 70.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 29.16% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 50.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 37.08% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 4.5 62.92% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 50.51% ▼ (-0.09)

Draw 29.85% ▲ (+0.07)

RB Leipzig 19.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 68.07% ▼ (-0.16)

No Goal 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)

RB Leipzig 29.27% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 61.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Equal 8 11.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 27.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 9 49.89%

Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 38.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.5 38.76% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 10.5 61.24% ▼ (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 70.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 29.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 48.1% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 51.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 27.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 72.98% ▲ (+0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 48.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 51.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 23.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 76.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 92.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 69.08%

Draw 16.24%

RB Leipzig 14.69%

Bayern Munich

2-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 7.18%

1-0 @ 6.45%

3-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 26.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 69.08%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 16.24%

RB Leipzig

1-2 @ 4.53%

0-1 @ 2.81%

0-2 @ 1.84%

2-3 @ 1.65%

1-3 @ 1.46%

Other @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 14.69%

Head to Head

Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm

1

5

HT : 1 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Rômulo 20'
Nicolas Seiwald 29'
Ezechiel Banzuzi 81'
Conrad Harder 81'
Tidiam Gomis 84'
Andrija Maksimovic 90'

Joshua Kimmich 46'
Serge Gnabry 50'
Michael Olise 56'
Harry Kane 67'
Alphonso Davies 81'
Jonathan Tah 82'
Aleksandar Pavlovic 85'
Min-jae Kim 86'
Jamal Musiala 87'
Michael Olise 88'

Aug 22, 2025 7.30pm

6

0

HT : 3 0

FT Allianz Arena

Michael Olise 27'
Luis Díaz 32'
Michael Olise 42'
Jonathan Tah 49'
Konrad Laimer 63'
Harry Kane 64'
Joshua Kimmich 68'
Harry Kane 74'
Harry Kane 77'
Michael Olise 87'

Willi Orbán 34'

May 3, 2025 2.30pm

3

3

HT : 2 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Benjamin Sesko 11'
Lukas Klostermann 39'
David Raum 50'
Kevin Kampl 77'
Kevin Kampl 78'
Arthur Vermeeren 89'
Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4'

Eric Dier 62'
Michael Olise 63'
Eric Dier 73'
Leroy Sane 83'

Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm

5

1

HT : 3 1

FT Allianz Arena

Jamal Musiala 1'
Dayot Upamecano 20'
Konrad Laimer 25'
Joshua Kimmich 36'
Michael Olise 56'
Harry Kane 60'
Konrad Laimer 64'
Leroy Sane 75'
Alphonso Davies 78'
Joshua Kimmich 82'

Benjamin Sesko 2'
Xaver Schlager 26'
Marco Rose 45'+1'
Benjamin Henrichs 59'

Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Arena

Aleksandar Pavlovic 37'
Harry Kane 56'
Matthijs de Ligt 59'
Jamal Musiala 66'
Harry Kane 90'+1'

Willi Orban 41'
Xaver Schlager 67'
Benjamin Sesko 70'
Mohamed Simakan 78'

Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm

2

2

HT : 4 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Lois Openda 20'
Lois Openda 20'
Castello Lukeba 26'
Castello Lukeba 26'
Mohamed Simakan 54'
Castello Lukeba 64'

Harry Kane 38'
Sven Ulreich 44'
Dayot Upamecano 51'
Harry Kane 57'
Leroy Sane 70'
Jamal Musiala 72'
Mathys Tel 81'

Form Data

Bayern 5 - 1 Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern

PSV 1 - 2 Bayern

Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg

Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG

RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern

FC Koln 1 - 2 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz

St Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig

Heidenheim 0 - 3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern

RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Freiburg