Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 2.30pm
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Said El Mala

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for FC Koln has a probability of 31.17% and a draw has a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest FC Koln win is 2-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

FC Koln 31.17% (+0.07)
Draw 24.05%
RB Leipzig 44.75% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.64% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.73%
Under 1.5 19.27%
Over 2.5 58.92% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.91% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.09% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.61% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.39% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Koln 27.14%
Draw 35.67%
RB Leipzig 37.19%

Team To Score First

FC Koln 42.12%
No Goal 4.94% (-0.01)
RB Leipzig 52.94% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.73%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 26.98%
Over 9 49.85%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 38.27%
Over 10.5 38.42%
Under 10.5 61.58%

FC Koln Goals

Over 1.5 36.05% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.95% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.61% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.22% (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 77.39% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.61% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 23.33% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 76.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.71% (+0.01)

Score analysis

FC Koln 31.16%
Draw 24.05%
RB Leipzig 44.75%
FC Koln
2-1 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.55% (+0.02)
Total : 31.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.05%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43%
Other @ 9.06% (-0.01)
Total : 44.75%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 7.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT RheinEnergieStadion
  • Sargis Adamyan 18' goal
  • Max Finkgrafe 49' yellowcard
  • Faride Alidou 66' yellowcard
  • goal Xavi Simons 15'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 62'
  • goal Lois Openda 63'
  • goal Lois Openda 67'
  • goal Amadou Haidara 70'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 72'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Timo Werner 15' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 19' yellowcard
  • Marco Rose 36' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 40' goal
  • David Raum 43' goal
  • Lois Openda 45'+3' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 88' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 29'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olesen 72'
  • redcard Mathias Olesen 80'
  • yellowcard Steffen Baumgart 82'
  • yellowcard Luca Kilian 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Timo Werner 36' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45'+1' redcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 56' goal
  • Benjamin Henrichs 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Thielmann 18'
  • goal Florian Dietz 40'
  • yellowcard Timo Hubers 48'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sargis Adamyan 76'
  • yellowcard Florian Kainz 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 25' goal
  • Dani Olmo 54' goal
  • Angelino 57' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Thielmann 9'
  • yellowcard Timo Hubers 35'
  • goal Tim Lemperle 90'+1'