Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Bayern
Feb 8, 2026 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Harry Kane 20' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 45' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 45'+2' goal
  • Luis Díaz 45'+2' goal
  • Luis Diaz 62' goal
  • Luis Díaz 62' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 63' yellowcard
  • Lennart Karl 63' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 68' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 80' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 89' goal
  • Luis Díaz 89' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Ihlas Bebou 66'
  • yellowcard Muhammed Damar 71'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 71'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 81'
  • yellowcard Luka Đurić 81'

Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 5.30pm
Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
93
Top scorer
Luis Diaz

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 3-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%) , while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.47%).

Result

Bayern Munich 71.99% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 15.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Hoffenheim 12.52% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55% ▼ (-0.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.31% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 13.69% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 68.35% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 2.5 31.65% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 48.1% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 3.5 51.9% ▲ (+1.81)
Over 4.5 34.88% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 4.5 65.12% ▲ (+1.26)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 62.2% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 26.76% ▲ (+0.83)
Hoffenheim 11.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 75.89% ▲ (+0.83)
No Goal 2.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Hoffenheim 21.12% ▼ (-0.96)

Corners

Over 8 65.8% ▲ (+0.26)
Equal 8 10.15% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 24.04% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 54.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.01% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 9 34.2% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 10.5 43.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 56.19% ▲ (+0.16)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 71.39% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 28.61% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 47.24% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 52.76% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 26.86% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 73.14% ▲ (+0.49)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 45.58% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 54.42% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 19.17% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 1.5 80.83% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 2.5 5.48% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 2.5 94.52% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 1.44% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 98.56% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 71.98%
Draw 15.51%
Hoffenheim 12.52%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.38)
3-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.46)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.34)
Other @ 26.75% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 71.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 15.51%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.29)
0-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 12.52%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
Bayern
  • goal Michael Olise 33'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 53'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 80'
  • goal Harry Kane 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Bayern
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Leroy Sane 7' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 12' goal
  • Harry Kane 26' goal
  • Leroy Sane 48' goal
  • Thomas Muller 61' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 66' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Campo La Quinta
Bayern
  • Maximilian Beier 8' goal
  • Grischa Promel 51' yellowcard
  • Florian Grillitsch 54' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 68' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 85' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 87' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mathys Tel 4'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 6'
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Bayern
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Jamal Musiala 18' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 70' goal
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 16'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 42'
  • redcard Grischa Promel 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Bayern
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Benjamin Pavard 17' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 71'

Form Data

Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern
PSV 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 2 Augsburg
Bayern 2 - 0 Union SG
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern
FC Koln 1 - 3 Bayern
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
Frankfurt 1 - 3 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Hoffenheim 5 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim 0 - 0 Heerenveen