Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 4.30pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 5.30pm
Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tim Lemperle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.73%. A draw has a probability of 15.55% and a win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 12.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.44%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.86%) , while for a Hoffenheim win it is 1-2 (3.12%).

Result

Bayern Munich 71.73%
Draw 15.55%
Hoffenheim 12.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 13.39% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 69%
Under 2.5 31%
Over 3.5 50.15%
Under 3.5 49.85%
Over 4.5 36.34% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 63.66% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 63.25%
Draw 25.49%
Hoffenheim 11.26%

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 74.76% (+0.02)
No Goal 2.83% (-0.01)
Hoffenheim 22.41%

Corners

Over 8 65.58%
Equal 8 9.99%
Under 8 24.43%
Over 9 54.78%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 34.42%
Over 10.5 44%
Under 10.5 56%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 71.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.2% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 27.45%
Under 3.5 72.55%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 46.1% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 53.9% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.97% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.07% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.93% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.73%
Under 3.5 98.27%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 71.72%
Draw 15.54%
Hoffenheim 12.73%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 27.28%
Total : 71.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.58%
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.54%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-1 @ 3.11%
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 12.73%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • goal Michael Olise 33'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 53'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 80'
  • goal Harry Kane 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Leroy Sane 7' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 12' goal
  • Harry Kane 26' goal
  • Leroy Sane 48' goal
  • Thomas Muller 61' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 66' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Campo La Quinta
  • Maximilian Beier 8' goal
  • Grischa Promel 51' yellowcard
  • Florian Grillitsch 54' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 68' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 85' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 87' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mathys Tel 4'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 6'
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Jamal Musiala 18' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 70' goal
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 16'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 42'
  • redcard Grischa Promel 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Pavard 17' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 71'