/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
26'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
45'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
45'+5'
-
Serhou Guirassy
67'
-
Jobe Bellingham
74'
-
Samuele Inácio
75'
-
Julian Brandt
75'
-
Jobe Bellingham
75'
-
Daniel Svensson
83'
-
Harry Kane
54'
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Jamal Musiala
62'
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Harry Kane
70'
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Joshua Kimmich
87'
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Tom Bischof
90'
-
Leon Goretzka
90'
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Min-jae Kim
90'
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Min-jae Kim
90'+2'
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Leon Goretzka
90'+2'
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
33.19%
Draw
22.91%
Bayern Munich
43.94%
Both Teams to Score:
61.34%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.96%
Under 1.5
17.04%
Over 2.5
61.52%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
38.48%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
38.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
61.41%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
23.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
76.01%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Borussia Dortmund
30.94%
Draw
37.43%
Bayern Munich
31.63%
Team To Score First
Borussia Dortmund
48.15%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
4.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Bayern Munich
47.53%
Corners
Over 8
56.9%
Equal 8
11%
Under 8
32.1%
Over 9
45.76%
Equal 9
11.13%
Under 9
43.1%
Over 10.5
35.37%
Under 10.5
64.63%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 1.5
38.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
61.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
16.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
83.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
5.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
94.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
76.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
23.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.13%
Under 1.5
50.87%
Over 2.5
24.12%
Under 2.5
75.88%
Over 3.5
10.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
89.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
33.18%
Draw
22.91%
Bayern Munich
43.92%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
7.6%
1-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.18%
1-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.18%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
2-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.91%
2-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.91%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
8.8%
0-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43%
Other @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.92%
0-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43%
Other @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.92%