Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.