Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.05% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.