Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%).