Serie A
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Lazar Samardžić 46' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Bernasconi 57' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 57' yellowcard
  • Mario Pašalić 61' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 69' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 81' goal
  • Honest Ahanor 84' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Beukema 18'
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano  63'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Spinazzola 63'
  • yellowcard Mathías Olivera 70'
  • yellowcard Giovane 70'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 85'

Atalanta BC vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.00pm
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 7.45pm
Napoli 2 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 48.89% (+0.11)
Draw 25.06%
Napoli 26.02% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.57% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 24.43% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 51.48% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 48.49% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 29.04% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 70.96% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 16.55% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 83.45% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 36.07%
Draw 42.27%
Napoli 21.66%

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 55.83% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.56% (+0.03)
Napoli 37.61% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.42%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 33.57%
Over 9 42.5%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 45.58%
Over 10.5 31.66%
Under 10.5 68.34%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 46.6% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.4% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 20.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.2% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.45% (+0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 62.48% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 37.52% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.82% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 71.18% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 9.84% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 90.16% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.72% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.28% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 48.88%
Draw 25.05%
Napoli 26.03%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.97% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.08%
2-0 @ 8.23% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.44%
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 25.05%
Napoli
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.61% (-0.07)
Total : 26.03%

Head to Head

Serie A
Nov 22, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 16' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 64' yellowcard
  • Matteo Ruggeri 66' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Scalvini 76' yellowcard
  • Isak Hien 85' yellowcard
  • goal Matteo Politano 27'
  • goal Scott McTominay 40'
  • yellowcard David Neres 42'
  • yellowcard Antonio Conte 74'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 78'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 88'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Mateo Retegui 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ademola Lookman 10'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 31'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 65'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Victor Osimhen 38' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 84' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 26'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 45'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 54'
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 82'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 88'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Berat Djimsiti 27' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 53' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Natan 21'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 22'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 44'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 60'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 79'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 60' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 77' goal