Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.77% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.