Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.