Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 5.00pm
Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Cagliari
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw has a probability of 26.07% and a win for Fiorentina has a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Fiorentina win it is 0-1 (7.64%).

Result

Napoli 51.11% (-5.30)
Draw 26.07% (+1.04)
Fiorentina 22.85% (+4.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.17% (+2.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.65% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 30.35% (-1.53)
Over 2.5 43.95% (+1.93)
Under 2.5 56.05% (-1.93)
Over 3.5 22.92% (+1.57)
Under 3.5 77.08% (-1.57)
Over 4.5 12.13% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 87.87% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Napoli 35.15% (-5.93)
Draw 42.36% (+1.84)
Fiorentina 22.49% (+4.09)

Team To Score First

Napoli 56.71% (-5.44)
No Goal 8.81% (-0.52)
Fiorentina 34.48% (+5.96)

Corners

Over 8 51.66% (-1.10)
Equal 8 12.1% (+0.11)
Under 8 36.24% (+0.99)
Over 9 39.92% (-1.08)
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 48.34% (+1.10)
Over 10.5 29.45% (-0.99)
Under 10.5 70.55% (+0.99)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 43.88% (-2.30)
Under 1.5 56.12% (+2.30)
Over 2.5 18.5% (-1.45)
Under 2.5 81.5% (+1.46)
Over 3.5 6.13% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 93.87% (+0.64)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 56.18% (+4.93)
Under 0.5 43.82% (-4.93)
Over 1.5 22.74% (+4.62)
Under 1.5 77.26% (-4.62)
Over 2.5 6.67% (+2.25)
Under 2.5 93.33% (-2.25)
Over 3.5 1.55% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 98.45% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Napoli 51.11%
Draw 26.08%
Fiorentina 22.86%
Napoli
1-0 @ 13.95% (-1.55)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-1.49)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.71)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.17)
Other @ 6.12% (-0.63)
Total : 51.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.51)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 4.51% (+0.79)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.08%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.64% (+0.57)
1-2 @ 5.72% (+1.18)
0-2 @ 3.58% (+0.57)
1-3 @ 1.82% (+0.52)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.42)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.54% (+0.59)
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Romelu Lukaku 26' goal
  • Alessandro Buongiorno 47' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 60' goal
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 64'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 66'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • goal David Neres 29'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 39'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 54'
  • goal Scott McTominay 68'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Cristiano Biraghi 40' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 42' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 84' yellowcard
  • goal Amir Rrahmani 8'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 41'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 57'
  • yellowcard Jens Cajuste 70'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 18, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Giovanni Simeone 22' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 84' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 86' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 51'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Victor Osimhen 45'+5' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jens Cajuste 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Josip Brekalo 7'
  • yellowcard Pietro Terracciano 45'+4'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 63'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 69'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 89'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+3'