Serie A
Napoli
Jan 31, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina
  • Antonio Vergara 11' goal
  • Mathías Olivera 30' yellowcard
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 49' goal
  • Giovane 84' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 46'
  • goal Manor Solomon 57'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 70'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 70'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 79'

Napoli vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 5.00pm
Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Cagliari
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.02% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%) , while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 51.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 26.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Fiorentina 22.92% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.63% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 30.04% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 23.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 76.89% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 12.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.79% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Napoli 35.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 42.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Fiorentina 22.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Napoli 57.1% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 8.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Fiorentina 34.26%

Corners

Over 8 50.85% ▼ (-0.65)
Equal 8 12.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 37.1% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 9 39.23% ▼ (-0.53)
Equal 9 11.62% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 9 49.15% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 10.5 28.93% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 10.5 71.07% ▲ (+0.38)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 56.48% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 0.5 43.52% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 22.93% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 77.07% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 6.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.3% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Napoli 51.06%
Draw 26.02%
Fiorentina 22.92%
Napoli
1-0 @ 13.8% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 10% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 51.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.02%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.92%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Fiorentina
Sep 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
Serie A Gameweek 28
Napoli
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina
  • Romelu Lukaku 26' goal
  • Alessandro Buongiorno 47' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 60' goal
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 64'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 66'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Fiorentina
Jan 4, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli
  • goal David Neres 29'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 39'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 54'
  • goal Scott McTominay 68'
Serie A Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli
  • Cristiano Biraghi 40' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 42' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 84' yellowcard
  • goal Amir Rrahmani 8'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 41'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 57'
  • yellowcard Jens Cajuste 70'
Supercoppa Italiana
Napoli
Jan 18, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
Fiorentina
  • Giovanni Simeone 22' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 84' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 86' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 51'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Napoli
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina
  • Victor Osimhen 45'+5' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jens Cajuste 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Josip Brekalo 7'
  • yellowcard Pietro Terracciano 45'+4'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 63'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 69'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 89'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+3'

Form Data

Napoli 2 - 3 Chelsea
Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli
Copenhagen 1 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo
Napoli 0 - 0 Parma
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Napoli
Fiorentina 1 - 3 Como
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Cagliari
Bologna 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 0 - 0 AC Milan
Lazio 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese