Serie A
Fiorentina
Jan 24, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari
  • Giovanni Fabbian 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Brescianini 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 59' yellowcard
  • Marco Brescianini 74' goal
  • Niccolò Fortini 83' yellowcard
  • goal Semih Kılıçsoy 31'
  • goal Marco Palestra 47'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sulemana 64'
  • yellowcard Gennaro Borrelli 71'
  • yellowcard Riyad Idrissi 80'
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 80'

Fiorentina vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Bologna 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 58.96%
Draw 24.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Cagliari 16.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.08%
Under 1.5 29.92%
Over 2.5 44.6%
Under 2.5 55.4%
Over 3.5 22.39%
Under 3.5 77.61%
Over 4.5 12.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.52% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 40.89%
Draw 43.74%
Cagliari 15.37%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 63.22%
No Goal 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Cagliari 28.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.14%
Equal 8 11.75%
Under 8 30.11%
Over 9 46.13%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 41.86%
Over 10.5 34.89%
Under 10.5 65.11%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 49.02%
Under 1.5 50.98%
Over 2.5 22.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 50.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 83.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 58.97%
Draw 24.1%
Cagliari 16.97%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 15.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.09%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 58.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.1%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.97%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Cagliari
Aug 24, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
Serie A Gameweek 33
Cagliari
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina
  • Roberto Piccoli 7' goal
  • Jose Luis Palomino 65' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 79' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Gosens 36'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 48'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Fiorentina
Dec 8, 2024 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari
  • Danilo Cataldi 24' goal
  • Pietro Comuzzo 30' yellowcard
  • Dodo 58' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 35'
  • yellowcard Davide Nicola 83'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 88'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Cagliari
May 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina
  • Alessandro Deiola 64' goal
  • Kingstone Mutandwa 85' goal
  • Yerry Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 39'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 71'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 89'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 89'
  • goal Arthur 90'+13'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alberto Dossena 21' goal
  • Gino Infantino 86' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Cagliari
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Giorgio Altare 10' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 47' goal
  • Walter Mazzarri 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 81' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 29'
  • redcard Alvaro Odriozola 65'
  • goal Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 89'

Form Data

Bologna 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 0 - 0 AC Milan
Lazio 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese
Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese
Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus
Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari
Cremonese 2 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 1 AC Milan
Torino 1 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 2 - 2 Pisa