Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Gianluca Gaetano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw has a probability of 23.72% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (6.47%).

Result

Fiorentina 60.15% (-0.22)
Draw 23.72% (+0.15)
Cagliari 16.16% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.14% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.75% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 30.25% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 44.25% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 55.72% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 22.08% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 77.92% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 12.37% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 87.63% (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 40.88% (+0.61)
Draw 44.21% (-0.69)
Cagliari 14.9% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 62.22% (-0.14)
No Goal 8.56% (+0.17)
Cagliari 29.22% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.94% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.58% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.48% (-0.11)
Over 9 46.13% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 42.06% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 35.09% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 64.91% (-0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 49.64% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 50.36% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 23.02% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 76.98% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 8.33% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 91.67% (+0.13)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 49.1% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 50.9% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 15.89% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 84.11% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 3.29% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.71% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.64%
Under 3.5 99.36%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 60.15%
Draw 23.73%
Cagliari 16.16%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 15.26% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 10.27% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 8.32% (-0.12)
Total : 60.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.56% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.73%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 6.47% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.16%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 24, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Roberto Piccoli 7' goal
  • Jose Luis Palomino 65' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 79' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Gosens 36'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 48'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Danilo Cataldi 24' goal
  • Pietro Comuzzo 30' yellowcard
  • Dodo 58' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 35'
  • yellowcard Davide Nicola 83'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 88'
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola 64' goal
  • Kingstone Mutandwa 85' goal
  • Yerry Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 39'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 71'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 89'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 89'
  • goal Arthur 90'+13'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alberto Dossena 21' goal
  • Gino Infantino 86' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giorgio Altare 10' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 47' goal
  • Walter Mazzarri 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 81' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 29'
  • redcard Alvaro Odriozola 65'
  • goal Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 89'