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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 2, 2026 at 7.45pm UK
 
Milan logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Cagliari and AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 29.46% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
29.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)26.2% (0.004999999999999 0)44.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)52.73% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.012 -0.01)74.37% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.51% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)57.78% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.46%
    AC Milan 44.33%
    Draw 26.19%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.33%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 20
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Morata (51')
Jimenez (82')
Zortea (55')
Felici (41'), Piccoli (90+1')
Nov 9, 2024 5pm
gameweek 12
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
Zortea (2'), Zappa (53', 90')
Leao (15', 40'), Abraham (69')
Fofana (61'), Hernandez (90+1')
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 36
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Bennacer (35'), Pulisic (59', 86'), Reijnders (74'), Leao (83')
Bennacer (28'), Gabbia (33')
Nandez (63')
Mina (69')
Jan 2, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Jovic (29', 42'), Traore (50'), Leao (90+1')
Azzi (87')
Di Pardo (59'), Deiola (70'), Azzi (88')
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')