Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Nikola Moro 46' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rowe 46' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 46' yellowcard
  • Nadir Zortea 46' yellowcard
  • Lewis Ferguson 72' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 88' goal
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 19'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 45'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 72'
  • yellowcard Manor Solomon 72'
  • yellowcard Marco Brescianini 72'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Fortini 80'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 90'+4'

Bologna vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 5.30pm
Hellas Verona 2 - 3 Bologna
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Santiago Castro

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 28.66% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 0-1 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result

Bologna 43.39% (-0.04)
Draw 27.98% (+0.04)
Fiorentina 28.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.4% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 31% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 43.57% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 56.43% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 22.2% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.8% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.22% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bologna 31.65%
Draw 44.81%
Fiorentina 23.53%

Team To Score First

Bologna 49.02% (-0.03)
No Goal 9.34% (+0.07)
Fiorentina 41.64% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.35%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 35.52%
Over 9 40.51%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 47.65%
Over 10.5 29.92%
Under 10.5 70.08%

Bologna Goals

Over 1.5 38.53% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 61.47% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 14.67% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.33% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.47% (+0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 62.33% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 37.67% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.95% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.86%
Under 2.5 91.14%
Over 3.5 2.31%
Under 3.5 97.69%

Score analysis

Bologna 43.38%
Draw 27.97%
Fiorentina 28.67%
Bologna
1-0 @ 12.3% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 4.42% (-0.03)
Total : 43.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.34% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.97%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 26, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Fabiano Parisi 13' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 20' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 65' yellowcard
  • Amir Richardson 67' goal
  • Fabiano Parisi 77' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 84' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 90' yellowcard
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 61'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 77'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 79'
  • redcard Juan Miranda 88'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Tommaso Pobega 13' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 59' goal
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dodo 16'
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 89'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Riccardo Orsolini 12' goal
  • Remo Freuler 59' yellowcard
  • Stefan Posch 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 34'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltran 90'+7'
Coppa Italia
Jan 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 116' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 88'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 109'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 17' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 17' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 17' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 48' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 48' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 33'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 33'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 36'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 36'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 40'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 40'
  • yellowcard Michel Aebischer 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Michel Aebischer 45'+2'