Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.89% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.