Serie A
Feb 15, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 40' goal
  • Mathias Olivera 70' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 70' yellowcard
  • Alisson Santos 70' yellowcard
  • Mathías Olivera 70' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 71' yellowcard
  • Giovane 79' yellowcard
  • Billy Gilmour 79' yellowcard
  • Billy Gilmour  79' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 82' goal
  • Alisson Santos 82' goal
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 84' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 85' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi  85' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 7'
  • yellowcard Matias Soule 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Soulé 46'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 65'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venturino 65'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 71'
  • yellowcard Kostas Tsimikas 72'
  • yellowcard Robinio Vaz 72'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 72'
  • yellowcard Robinio Vaz 73'

Napoli vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.00pm
Genoa 2 - 3 Napoli
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 38.55% (+0.22)
Draw 27.12% (-0.06)
Roma 34.33% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.76% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.56% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 43.54% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 56.46% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 22.02% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.98% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.14% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.86% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Napoli 27.57% (+0.06)
Draw 44.46% (+0.07)
Roma 27.96% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Napoli 43.77% (-0.46)
No Goal 8.74% (-0.02)
Roma 47.49% (+0.49)

Corners

Over 8 47.9% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.41% (-0.03)
Under 8 39.69% (-0.03)
Over 9 36.2% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.03)
Under 9 52.1% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 26.08% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 73.92% (-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 65.9% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 12.28% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 87.72% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.68% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.32% (-0.07)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 66.27% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 33.73% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 31.43% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.57% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.1% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.9% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Napoli 38.55%
Draw 27.13%
Roma 34.35%
Napoli
1-0 @ 11.68% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.86% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.67% (+0.07)
Total : 38.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.13%
Roma
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95% (-0.03)
Total : 34.35%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 30, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bryan Cristante 54' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 55' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 73' yellowcard
  • Evan N'Dicka 86' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal David Neres 36'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 62'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 63'
  • yellowcard Sam Beukema 64'
  • yellowcard Sam Beukema 65'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Kouadio Kone 51' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 72' yellowcard
  • Angelino 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 14'
  • goal Leonardo Spinazzola 29'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Romelu Lukaku 54' goal
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 38'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 60'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Mathias Olivera 64' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 75' yellowcard
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 80' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 84' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 59'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 88'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 28' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 32' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 38' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 60' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 66' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 76' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 81' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 28'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 31'
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 62'
  • redcard Matteo Politano 66'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 73'
  • redcard Victor Osimhen 86'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Victor Osimhen 17' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 86' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 75'