Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.