Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.