Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 5.00pm
Roma 0 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Wesley

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 7.45pm
Como 1 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 36.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).

Result

Roma 37.36%
Draw 25.92%
AC Milan 36.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11%
Under 1.5 25.89%
Over 2.5 49.88%
Under 2.5 50.12%
Over 3.5 27.65%
Under 3.5 72.35%
Over 4.5 15.06%
Under 4.5 84.94%

First Half Winner

Roma 31.25%
Draw 45.56%
AC Milan 23.19%

Team To Score First

Roma 54.27%
No Goal 7.28%
AC Milan 38.45%

Corners

Over 8 53.84%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 34.36%
Over 9 42.18%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 46.16%
Over 10.5 31.59%
Under 10.5 68.41%

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 36.36%
Under 1.5 63.64%
Over 2.5 13.32%
Under 2.5 86.68%
Over 3.5 4.11%
Under 3.5 95.89%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 69.73%
Under 0.5 30.27%
Over 1.5 36.76%
Under 1.5 63.24%
Over 2.5 15.54%
Under 2.5 84.46%
Over 3.5 5.43%
Under 3.5 94.57%

Score analysis

Roma 37.35%
Draw 25.91%
AC Milan 36.69%
Roma
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 37.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.91%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 36.69%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Gianluca Mancini 3' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 25' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 45' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 58' goal
  • Zeki Celik 61' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 87' goal
  • redcard Santiago Gimenez 21'
  • goal Joao Felix 39'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 62'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
  • redcard Sergio Conceicao 90'+3'
Coppa Italia
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tammy Abraham 17' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 43' goal
  • Joao Felix 70' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 55'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 70'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 16' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 40' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' redcard
  • Theo Hernandez 43' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 44' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 13'
  • goal Paulo Dybala 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 67'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 71'
Club Friendlies 1
May 31, 2024 12.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Optus Stadium
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 28' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 45'+2' goal
  • Angelino 54' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 57' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 77' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 37'
  • goal Noah Okafor 55'
Europa League
Apr 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Gianluca Mancini 12' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 22' goal
  • Zeki Celik 31' redcard
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 32'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 46'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 51'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 77'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 85'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+2'