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Niccolo Pisilli
59'
-
Niccolò Pisilli
59'
-
Robinio Vaz
69'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
69'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
74'
-
Lorenzo Venturino
85'
-
Zachary Athekame
46'
-
Koni De Winter
62'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
68'
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Niclas Füllkrug
68'
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Christian Pulisic
69'
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Ruben Loftus-Cheek
79'
Roma vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result
Roma
38.08%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
26.04%
▲
(+0.17)
AC Milan
35.85%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
55.65%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.29%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
24.71%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 2.5
51.28%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
48.72%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
29.3%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
70.7%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
16.38%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
83.62%
▼
(-0.13)
First Half Winner
Roma
31.57%
▲
(+0.90)
Draw
44.28%
▼
(-1.48)
AC Milan
24.15%
▲
(+0.58)
Team To Score First
Roma
55.05%
▼
(-0.43)
No Goal
6.78%
▼
(-0.06)
AC Milan
38.17%
▲
(+0.49)
Corners
Over 8
53.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 8
12.36%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 8
34.37%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 9
41.1%
▼
(-0.23)
Equal 9
12.17%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 9
46.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 10.5
30.16%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 10.5
69.84%
▲
(+0.41)
Roma Goals
Over 1.5
38.06%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
61.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
14.7%
Under 2.5
85.3%
Over 3.5
4.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
95.27%
▼
(-0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
69.98%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 0.5
30.02%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 1.5
37.16%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
62.84%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 2.5
15.53%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
84.47%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
5.42%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
94.58%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Roma
38.08%
Draw
26.04%
AC Milan
35.84%
Roma
1-0
@
9.68%
▼
(-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.08%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.08%
Draw
1-1
@
12.28%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.04%
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.04%
AC Milan
0-1
@
8.21%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 35.84%
1-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 35.84%
Head to Head
-
Gianluca Mancini
3'
-
Gianluca Mancini
25'
-
Bryan Cristante
45'
-
Leandro Paredes
58'
-
Zeki Celik
61'
-
Bryan Cristante
87'
-
Santiago Gimenez
21'
-
Joao Felix
39'
-
Alex Jimenez
62'
-
Fikayo Tomori
90'
-
Fikayo Tomori
90'
-
Sergio Conceicao
90'+3'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
16'
-
Paulo Fonseca
40'
-
Paulo Fonseca
43'
-
Theo Hernandez
43'
-
Alvaro Morata
44'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
82'
-
Matteo Gabbia
90'+4'
-
Kouadio Kone
4'
-
Mats Hummels
13'
-
Paulo Dybala
23'
-
Leandro Paredes
67'
-
Zeki Celik
71'