Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 10' goal
  • Marc Oliver Kempf 10' goal
  • Diego Carlos 46' yellowcard
  • Maxence Caqueret 60' yellowcard
  • Jesus Rodriguez Caraballo 60' yellowcard
  • Jesús Rodríguez 60' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Kuhn 66' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Kühn 66' yellowcard
  • Sergi Roberto 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 45'+1'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 55'
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 62'
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 63'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 63'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 70'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 70'
  • yellowcard Ardon Jasari 86'
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 86'
  • yellowcard Ardon Jashari 86'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 88'

Como vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.00pm
Como 0 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Nico Paz

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (11.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Como 35.54%
Draw 29.15%
AC Milan 35.28% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 32.45% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 41.38% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 58.58% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 20.32% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 79.68% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.04% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.96% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Como 32.21%
Draw 44.16%
AC Milan 23.62%

Team To Score First

Como 49.57% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.97% (+0.03)
AC Milan 40.46% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 42.29%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 45.55%
Over 9 31.32%
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 57.71%
Over 10.5 22.21%
Under 10.5 77.79%

Como Goals

Over 1.5 31.28% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 68.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.29% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.01% (+0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.12% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.09% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.91% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.26% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Como 35.54%
Draw 29.15%
AC Milan 35.27%
Como
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Total : 35.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 29.15%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 11.02% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.95% (-0.03)
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Warren Bondo 10' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 48' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 53' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 75' goal
  • Alex Jimenez 79' yellowcard
  • Sergio Conceicao 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Da Cunha 33'
  • yellowcard Maximo Perrone 68'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Espeto 79'
  • yellowcard Nico Paz 90'
  • redcard Dele Alli 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Assane Diao 60' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 20'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 33'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 43'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 53'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 56'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 71'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 85'