Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (11.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.