Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Donyell Malen 25' goal
  • Bryan Zaragoza 57' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 65' goal
  • Lorenzo Venturino 84' yellowcard
  • Antonio Arena 84' yellowcard
  • Neil El Aynaoui 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sulemana 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 73'
  • yellowcard Riyad Idrissi 73'
  • yellowcard Yael Trepy 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 87'

Roma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.45pm
Udinese 1 - 0 Roma
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 7.45pm
Cagliari 4 - 0 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Roma 61.19% (-0.20)
Draw 22.59% (+0.08)
Cagliari 16.22% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.43% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.66% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 26.34% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 48.63% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 51.37% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 25.98% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 74.02% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.19% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 84.81% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Roma 44.55% (-0.75)
Draw 41.64% (+0.60)
Cagliari 13.81% (+0.16)

Team To Score First

Roma 68.83% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.9% (+0.12)
Cagliari 24.27% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.5% (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.53% (-0.05)
Under 8 36.97% (+0.25)
Over 9 38.43% (-0.17)
Equal 9 12.07% (-0.05)
Under 9 49.5% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 27.8% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 72.2% (+0.11)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 52.91% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 47.09% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 26.01% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 73.99% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 9.8% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.2% (+0.10)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 50.45% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 49.55% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 17.99%
Under 1.5 82.01%
Over 2.5 4.65% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.35% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 61.19%
Draw 22.58%
Cagliari 16.21%
Roma
1-0 @ 13.96% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.19% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 9.77% (-0.08)
Total : 61.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 22.58%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 5.46% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.21%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 7, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Folorunsho 78' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 82' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 83' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Zeki Celik 52'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 78'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 62' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Viola 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 40'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola 84' yellowcard
  • Paulo Azzi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 82'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 2' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 23' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 51' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 59' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 65'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 14' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 61' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 87' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 44'+44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 11'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 19'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 20'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 32'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 44'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 45'+2'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 59'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jan Oliveras 23' yellowcard
  • Jan Oliveras 33' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 39' yellowcard
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 25'
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 27'
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 32'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Altare 70'