Champions League
Atalanta
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Gewiss Stadium
Bayern
  • Berat Djimsiti 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Honest Ahanor 55' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 67' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Pašalić 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josip Stanisic 12'
  • goal Michael Olise 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 25'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 46'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 46'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 52'
  • goal Michael Olise 64'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 67'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 68'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 71'
  • yellowcard Raphaël Guerreiro 86'

Atalanta BC vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%).

Result

Atalanta BC 28.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.83%
Bayern Munich 49.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 59.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 40.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.04% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 27.51%
Draw 39.18%
Bayern Munich 33.31%

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 45.45%
No Goal 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Bayern Munich 49.83% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.94%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 35.91%
Over 9 42.01%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 47.06%
Over 10.5 32.09%
Under 10.5 67.91%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 33.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 79.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 26.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.53%
Under 3.5 88.47%

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 28.18%
Draw 21.83%
Bayern Munich 49.98%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.24%
1-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.83%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 11.23%
Total : 49.98%

Form Data

Atalanta 2 - 2 Udinese
Lazio 2 - 2 Atalanta
Sassuolo 2 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 4 - 1 Dortmund
Atalanta 2 - 1 Napoli
Dortmund 2 - 0 Atalanta
Bayern 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 2 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 2 Frankfurt
Werder Bremen 0 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Bayern 5 - 1 Hoffenheim

Build-up

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