Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.04% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.