Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.57% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.