/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
-
Federico Bernardeschi
53'
-
Thijs Dallinga
54'
-
Nikola Moro
65'
-
Nicolo Cambiaghi
78'
-
Charalampos Lykogiannis
78'
-
Nicolò Cambiaghi
78'
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
20'
-
Christopher Nkunku
39'
-
Adrien Rabiot
48'
-
Samuele Ricci
67'
-
Fikayo Tomori
67'
-
Ardon Jasari
72'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
72'
-
Ardon Jashari
72'
-
Niclas Füllkrug
72'
-
Pervis Estupinan
83'
-
Pervis Estupiñán
83'
Bologna vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fimago1056984802-1-68e2573e10d27011965363.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Bologna
33.31%
▼
(-0.59)
Draw
28.98%
▲
(+0.36)
AC Milan
37.71%
▲
(+0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
48%
▼
(-0.54)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.38%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
30.62%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 2.5
43.06%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 2.5
56.94%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 3.5
22.12%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
77.88%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
11.15%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
88.85%
▲
(+0.29)
First Half Winner
Bologna
27.92%
▼
(-1.13)
Draw
46.96%
▲
(+0.89)
AC Milan
25.12%
▲
(+0.25)
Team To Score First
Bologna
47.47%
▲
(+0.18)
No Goal
9.37%
▲
(+0.23)
AC Milan
43.16%
▼
(-0.41)
Corners
Over 8
57.76%
▲
(+0.48)
Equal 8
11.83%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 8
30.42%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 9
45.69%
▲
(+0.19)
Equal 9
12.07%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 9
42.24%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 10.5
34.44%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 10.5
65.56%
▲
(+0.08)
Bologna Goals
Over 1.5
31.18%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 1.5
68.82%
▲
(+0.68)
Over 2.5
11.05%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
88.95%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
3.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
96.81%
▲
(+0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
69.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
30.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
34.32%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
65.68%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
12.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
87.43%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
3.67%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
96.33%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Bologna
33.32%
Draw
28.98%
AC Milan
37.71%
Bologna
1-0
@
10.04%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.32%
2-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.32%
Draw
1-1
@
13.58%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.98%
0-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.98%
AC Milan
0-1
@
11.22%
▲
(+0.39)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 37.71%
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 37.71%
Head to Head
-
Rafael Leao
22'
-
Davide Calabria
36'
-
Yacine Adli
44'
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
45'
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
45'+2'
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
83'
-
Filippo Terracciano
90'+1'
-
Riccardo Calafiori
2'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
29'
-
Lewis Ferguson
39'
-
Thiago Motta
41'
-
Kacper Urbanski
57'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
90'+2'