Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Genoa 0 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jens Odgaard

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 33.9% and a draw has a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Bologna win is 1-0 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Bologna 33.9% (-0.04)
Draw 28.63%
AC Milan 37.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.57% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.05% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.95% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 44.06% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.94% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.54% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.46% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.54% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Bologna 29.05%
Draw 46.08%
AC Milan 24.87%

Team To Score First

Bologna 47.3% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.14% (+0.04)
AC Milan 43.56% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.28%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 31.11%
Over 9 45.5%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 42.72%
Over 10.5 34.52%
Under 10.5 65.48%

Bologna Goals

Over 1.5 31.88% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.12% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 11.32% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.68% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.22% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.78% (+0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 30.26% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.57% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.43% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.84% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bologna 33.89%
Draw 28.63%
AC Milan 37.47%
Bologna
1-0 @ 10% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Total : 33.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 28.63%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.59% (-0.02)
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
May 14, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Fikayo Tomori 38' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 43'
  • goal Dan Ndoye 53'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 57'
  • yellowcard Jhon Lucumi 74'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 67' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 73' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 79' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jhon Lucumi 37'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 49'
  • yellowcard Santiago Castro 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Santiago Castro 48' goal
  • Nicolo Casale 53' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 82' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 43'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 54'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 22' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 36' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 44' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 83' goal
  • Filippo Terracciano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 2'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 29'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 39'
  • redcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 57'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Michel Aebischer 30' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 77' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 11'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 21'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 76'