Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.