Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.58% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.