Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.