Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.83% and a win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.