Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.