Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (10.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.