Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.