Serie A Gameweek 27
Udinese
Mar 2, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • Christian Kabasele 10' goal
  • Keinan Davis 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Buksa 68' yellowcard
  • Branimir Mlacic 73' yellowcard
  • Oier Zarraga 73' yellowcard
  • Hassane Kamara 73' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Lennon Miller 87' yellowcard
  • Adam Buksa 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 46'
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 46'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 71'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 71'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 87'

Udinese vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Keinan Davis

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 5.30pm
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Pisa
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Udinese 31.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 27.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Fiorentina 41.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 52.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 25.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 74.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 13.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.63% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Udinese 25.1%
Draw 45.9%
Fiorentina 28.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Udinese 40.13% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Fiorentina 51.97% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 52.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 35.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 40.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 47.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.13% ▼ (-0.03)

Udinese Goals

Over 1.5 31.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 26.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 60.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 4.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Udinese 31.32%
Draw 27.08%
Fiorentina 41.64%
Udinese
1-0 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.08%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.64%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Fiorentina
Dec 21, 2025 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Udinese
  • Rolando Mandragora 21' goal
  • Fabiano Parisi 40' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 42' goal
  • Cher Ndour 45'+5' goal
  • Moise Kean 56' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 65' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 68' goal
  • Hans Nicolussi 85' yellowcard
  • redcard Maduka Okoye 7'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 39'
  • goal Oumar Solet 66'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Udinese
May 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • Jaka Bijol 9' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Lucca 26' goal
  • Jaka Bijol 39' redcard
  • Christian Kabasele 61' goal
  • Jesper Karlstrom 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolo Fagioli 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltran 50'
  • goal Pietro Comuzzo 57'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 59'
  • goal Moise Kean 82'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
Dec 23, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Riccardo Sottil 5' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 8' goal
  • Christian Kouame 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Zemura 38'
  • yellowcard Thomas Kristensen 46'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 49'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Ehizibue 52'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 57'
  • yellowcard Razvan Sava 73'
  • yellowcard Sandi Lovric 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
Jan 14, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Lucas Beltran 55' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 62' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 87' goal
  • goal Sandi Lovric 10'
  • yellowcard Hassane Kamara 35'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 73'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Udinese
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • goal Lucas Martinez 32'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 35
Fiorentina
May 14, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 7' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 90' goal

Form Data

Bologna 1 - 0 Udinese
Udinese 1 - 2 Sassuolo
Lecce 2 - 1 Udinese
Udinese 1 - 0 Roma
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 Udinese
Udinese 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Fiorentina 2 - 4 Jagiellonia
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Pisa
Jagiellonia 0 - 3 Fiorentina
Como 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Torino
Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina