Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.