Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 26.83% and a draw has a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.54% (+0.83)
Draw 24.64% (+0.47)
Fiorentina 26.83% (-1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.01% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.16% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 52.11% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.64% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.36% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.03% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 82.97% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.34% (+1.67)
Draw 40.37% (-0.70)
Fiorentina 19.29% (-0.98)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 59.13% (+3.11)
No Goal 6.46% (+0.17)
Fiorentina 34.41% (-3.28)

Corners

Over 8 58.44% (+3.11)
Equal 8 11.32% (-0.17)
Under 8 30.24% (-2.95)
Over 9 46.85% (+3.00)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.11)
Under 9 41.56% (-3.11)
Over 10.5 35.95% (+2.66)
Under 10.5 64.05% (-2.66)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 46.55% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 53.45% (-0.73)
Over 2.5 21.32% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 78.68% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 7.78% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.22% (-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 62.92% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 37.08% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 29.47% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 70.53% (+0.85)
Over 2.5 10.3% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 89.7% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 3.06% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.94% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.54%
Draw 24.64%
Fiorentina 26.82%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.64% (-0.04)
Total : 48.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.07)
Total : 24.64%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.17)
Total : 26.82%