Conference League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Dawid Drachal 60' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Rallis 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Eryk Kozlowski 89' yellowcard
  • Youssuf Sylla 89' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Ranieri 53'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 65'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 68'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 68'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 81'
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 84'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.41% (-0.14)
Draw 24.64% (+0.04)
Fiorentina 26.92% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.83% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.17% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 52.17%
Under 2.5 47.83%
Over 3.5 29.73% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.27% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.08%
Under 4.5 82.92%

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.37%
Draw 40.35%
Fiorentina 19.28%

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 59.13%
No Goal 6.45%
Fiorentina 34.42%

Corners

Over 8 58.47%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 30.21%
Over 9 46.88%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 41.53%
Over 10.5 35.98%
Under 10.5 64.02%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 46.5% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 53.5% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 21.29% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 78.71% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.23% (+0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 62.99% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.01% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.6% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.4% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 10.39% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 89.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 48.4%
Draw 24.64%
Fiorentina 26.91%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 7.62% (-0.05)
Total : 48.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 24.64%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.95% (+0.03)
Total : 26.91%