Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 3.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Maribor vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 19, 2026 2.00pm
Debrecen 3 - 2 Maribor

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 8.00am
Jagiellonia 3 - 0 Cukaricki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Maribor 49.63% (-0.01)
Draw 23.14%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 21.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 56.26%
Under 2.5 43.74%
Over 3.5 33.56%
Under 3.5 66.44%
Over 4.5 20.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Maribor 37.47% (-0.04)
Draw 39.13% (+0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 23.41% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Maribor 56.95% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.58%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 37.47% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.91% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 24.51% (+0.04)
Over 9 53.49% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 35.09% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 42.22%
Under 10.5 57.78%

Maribor Goals

Over 1.5 49.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.51% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.03% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.32% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.68% (+0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 63.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.49%
Under 3.5 96.51%

Score analysis

Maribor 49.64%
Draw 23.16%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 27.22%
Maribor
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 9.31% (-0.01)
Total : 49.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.16%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 27.22%