Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.