Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Katowice
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Szczecin
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a Motor Lublin win it is 0-1 (5.58%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.47% (+2.15)
Draw 22% (-0.04)
Motor Lublin 19.53% (-2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.17% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.07% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 20.93% (+0.49)
Over 2.5 56.95% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 43.05% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 34.75% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 65.2% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 21.13% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 78.87% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.34% (+2.00)
Draw 38.24% (-1.48)
Motor Lublin 18.42% (-0.52)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 60.88% (+1.18)
No Goal 5.17% (+0.33)
Motor Lublin 33.95% (-1.49)

Corners

Over 8 63.55% (-0.47)
Equal 8 10.75% (-0.17)
Under 8 25.7% (+0.63)
Over 9 52.08% (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.23)
Under 9 36.45% (+0.48)
Over 10.5 40.86% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.13% (-0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 56.45% (+1.50)
Under 1.5 43.55% (-1.50)
Over 2.5 29.82% (+1.13)
Under 2.5 70.18% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 12.93% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 87.07% (-0.62)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 56.87% (-2.08)
Under 0.5 43.13% (+2.08)
Over 1.5 23.89% (-2.31)
Under 1.5 76.11% (+2.32)
Over 2.5 7.41% (-1.35)
Under 2.5 92.59% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 1.9% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 98.1% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.48%
Draw 21.99%
Motor Lublin 19.54%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 10.46% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 10.19% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.24% (+0.75)
3-1 @ 6.6% (+0.41)
3-0 @ 5.64% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 12.9% (+0.63)
Total : 58.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.17% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 21.99%
Motor Lublin
0-1 @ 5.58% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.66)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.23)
Other @ 1.87% (-0.44)
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 32' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 44' goal
  • Marek Bartos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz 32'
  • goal Afimico Pululu 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 27' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Darko Churlinov 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 67' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 69' goal
  • Enzo Ebosse 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergi Samper 41'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Kaan Caliskaner 20' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Romanczuk 4'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 45'+1'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 50'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 66'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 86'