Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Karol Czubak 3' goal
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 27' goal
  • Jakub Labojko 61' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 73' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 73' yellowcard
  • Franciszek Lewandowski 85' yellowcard
  • Kacper Karasek 85' yellowcard
  • goal Fredrik Ulvestad 36'
  • yellowcard Léo Borges 62'
  • yellowcard Karol Angielski 62'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 69'
  • yellowcard Patryk Paryzek 77'

Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 1.45pm
Szczecin 2 - 2 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 44.91% (+0.01)
Draw 23.71% (+0.42)
Pogon Szczecin 31.38% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.12% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 20.34% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 58.07% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 41.93% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 36.2% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 63.8% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 21.64% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 78.36% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 30.9% (-0.47)
Draw 42.36% (+1.33)
Pogon Szczecin 26.73% (-0.88)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 49.31% (-0.24)
No Goal 5.39% (+0.16)
Pogon Szczecin 45.3% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 70.58% (+0.24)
Equal 8 9.87% (-0.03)
Under 8 19.54% (-0.24)
Over 9 59.36% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.03)
Under 9 29.41% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 47.75% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 52.25% (-0.18)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 47.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.88% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 22.06% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.94% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.55% (-0.04)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 67.97% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 32.03% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 14.59% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 85.41% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 5.32% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.68% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 44.91%
Draw 23.71%
Pogon Szczecin 31.38%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.14)
Other @ 8.33% (-0.02)
Total : 44.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.05)
Total : 23.71%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 7.37% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.2% (-0.13)
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 31
May 14, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Leonardo Koutris 41' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 43' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 52' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 76' goal
  • yellowcard Herve Matthys 37'
  • yellowcard Bradly van Hoeven 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Michal Krol 8' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 28' goal
  • Sergi Samper 31' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 38' goal
  • Christopher Serge Simon 41' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 48' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 75' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 23'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 37'
  • goal Vahan Bichakhchyan 63'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 65'