Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.