Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 1.45pm
Szczecin 2 - 2 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Pogon Szczecin has a probability of 31.79% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win is 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Motor Lublin 44.9% (-0.06)
Draw 23.3% (+0.04)
Pogon Szczecin 31.79% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.63% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.32% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.99% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.01% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 31.36% (+0.01)
Draw 41.03% (+0.08)
Pogon Szczecin 27.61% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 49.55% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.23% (+0.03)
Pogon Szczecin 45.22% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.34% (-0.16)
Equal 8 9.89% (+0.03)
Under 8 19.77% (+0.15)
Over 9 59.14% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.2% (-0.02)
Under 9 29.66% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 47.57% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 52.43% (+0.14)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 47.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.82% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.58% (+0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 68.2% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.8% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.48% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.52% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.88%
Under 2.5 85.12%
Over 3.5 5.4%
Under 3.5 94.6%

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 44.91%
Draw 23.3%
Pogon Szczecin 31.8%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.21%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.35% (-0.01)
Total : 44.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23.3%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-1 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 5.33%
Total : 31.8%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 31
May 14, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Leonardo Koutris 41' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 43' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 52' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 76' goal
  • yellowcard Herve Matthys 37'
  • yellowcard Bradly van Hoeven 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Michal Krol 8' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 28' goal
  • Sergi Samper 31' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 38' goal
  • Christopher Serge Simon 41' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 48' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 75' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 23'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 37'
  • goal Vahan Bichakhchyan 63'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 65'